by Cognito » Tue Oct 22, 2013 1:00 pm
Hmmm ... they did get this partially correct. However, instead of a 150 year long, unbroken drought it probably happened in like a roller coaster - good years followed by bad years, so on and so forth.
The Hittite empire received the bulk of its grain from Assyria and, in the decades leading up to 1200bce the Assyrian grain crops failed due to drought. We know that the Hittite empire collapsed due to internal, civil strife. I suspect that when much of the Hittite-controlled areas couldn't be fed due to supply disruptions, people dispersed, including to the south. At this time the Sea Peoples were over-running the Levant by sea while there was also a considerable migration south overland apparently including, by the way, people from the Ukraine and Caucasus areas.
Major Near East kingdoms? The Hittites were toast, Mycenae disappeared, the Kassite Empire fell to Elam, but Egypt survived the turmoil. However, Egypt experienced a severe, 7-year drought beginning in 1159bce that considerably weakened the Twentieth Dynasty.
The only winners in all of this chaos were the resurgent Phoenicians who spread their trade networks throughout the Mediterranean and into the Atlantic.
Natural selection favors the paranoid